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Monday, February 01, 2016

Iowa Caucus 2016- No winner just five victories

Five presidential candidates split their supporters in the February 1st, 2016 Iowa Caucus. 

There was no clear winner but maybe five loosers, depending on your point of view. A lot of attention for no clear outcome.
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Democrats split their caucus support.

First of all, a caucus is hardly an election. Rather, it's a grass roots meeting where registered voters select delegates who will vote for a presidential candidate. Iowa has inflated the importance of it's first in the nation caucus to a process totally out of proportion to its actual significance. Nevertheless, since the outcome of the 2016 Iowa caucus was highly hyped, the perception of a "winner" was anticipated. Except, guess what? There was no winner. Instead, the Republican caucus goers split their support three ways, while the Democrats divided their support (statistically) right down the middle. Of course, looking at the caucus jug as "half full" the outcome could also be assessed as having five winners because the three Republcians nearly equaled each other in percentage of support while the Democrats were staatistically tie.

So, here's the dilemma? 
1.  Were there five loosers becasue no one candidate received a clear majority of support? 
2.  Or were there five winners, because each of the candidates equaled their party competitors in percentage of support?

In other words, the Iowa caucus proved absolutely nothing.  In my opinion, it's ridiculous for any of the lead candidates to claim they either "won", or "placed" or "showed". Obviously, a ton of money and energy was spent (wasted) in Iowa to reach a "non-conclusion" about who voters will support when they vote for President in November.
Image result for republican elephant
Republican caucus goers divided their support nearly equally three ways.

As Rachel Maddow said, the Iowa Caucus 2016 produced four victory speeches. Only Donald Trump was the outlier. Although Trump lost just because he didn't receive the highest percentage of support; but, in fact, his supporters prevented a clear Republican winner.

There must've been a time in the not so distant past when the Iowa caucuses were held in neighborhood barns, in the days when results were telephoned into party headquarters,without much  attention to the hoopla around the process. Frankly, it's time to return to those good old days, because, clearly, the Iowa Caucus was an event not worth the hoopla created about the ambiguous outcome.  

Here are the non-winning results worth noting:
Republicans
Senator Raphael "Ted" Cruz   28 %
Donald Trump                         24 %
Senator Marco Rubio              23 %
Democrats (still counting)
Secretary Hillary Clinton        50 %
Senator Bernie Sanders           49 %



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