Republicans continue to be "stupid party"- even with viable alternatives instead of extremists
Republicans certainly have intelligent candidates, options they can choose from, as their 2016, presidential nominee. Yet, their popularity polls continue to favor the extremists. Donald "Trump the Chump" and Raphael "Ted" aka "Cruz to loose", both extremists, continue to rise to the top of the Republcian 2016, presidential candiate polls. This is concerning, because neither of the two men are considered to be electable, in a national election. Worse, both Trump and Cruz could even loose so badly as to set the Republcian party's policies backwards, for decades. (Maybe, that's even reason enough to see the two men nominated- ...but, America's smart voters are better and more intelligent than that...)
Nate Silver says Republicans can do better. Silver is the pollster who compiles statistical data to project election outcome probabilities. Silver asks why Republicans continue to choose Trump and Cruz, as their preferences, when viable alternatives like John Kasich, Jeb (Jeb!) Bush and Chris Christie are reasonable alternatives?
It's a simplistic response, of course, but I continue to refer to Louisiana's immediate past Governor Bobby Jindal's observation, about his GOP analysis. "We've got to stop being the stupid party", he said. In my opinion....Jindal is right. It's plainly stupid for Republican voters to continue supporting Donald Trump and Raphael "Ted" Cruz, when neither one are considered electable in a national election.
"I don't think Donald Trump is very likely to win the nomination, in part because he's not really a Republican," Silver told journalist Mo Rocca at the 92nd Street Y in Manhattan.
"He's very far to the right on immigration, but he also wants socialized medicine," Silver said. "He wants to tax the rich, right? There's an alternate reality in which he decided to run as a Democrat instead — he wouldn't have to change his policy positions all that much."
Trump is the front-runner for the Republican nomination, leading in both national polls and polls of key early-nominating states including Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.
But Silver, who was heralded for correctly predicting which candidate would win every state in the 2012 presidential election, isn't quite clear on how or when Trump's demise will occur.
Trump has managed to outlast predictions regarding his campaign's viability from some pundits and pollsters — including Silver, who claimed that Trump's favorability ratings were too low — and numerous controversies stemming from his statements about women, immigrants, and more.
Silver said that at this stage, polls wouldn't yield much accurate predictive information, a claim some political observers have cited as reason not to take Trump's poll numbers too seriously.
"People haven't given [the candidates] more than two seconds' worth of attention ... Calm down — it's not a tennis match, where you're going back and forth all the time," Silver said. "Keep calm."
Silver cited recent history as proof that candidates in September didn't typically hold up: Hillary Clinton was leading the Democratic primary race in September 2007, but she went on to lose to then-Sen. Barack Obama. And Republican Rick Perry, then the governor of Texas, was dominating polls at this stage in 2011.
Silver also predicted that if Trump's support did not erode, the Republican Party establishment — which remains vehemently opposed to Trump — could still work overtime to make changes to the primary rules that would make it difficult for Trump to compete.
"The nomination party isn't purely democratic — it's also party's process to bestow," he said. "The fact that the Republican Party establishment hates Donald Trump isn't a very good thing — the party has to give you the nomination."
There's already some evidence that party officials have taken steps to attempt to box out Trump.
Before Trump declared last week that he would not run as an independent if he lost the Republican nomination, party officials in states including South Carolina were already making plans to allow candidates into the primary only if they pledged not to pursue an independent campaign.
And The New York Times reported earlier this week that conservative fund-raisers and advocacy groups were quietly exploring different strategies to undermine Trump.
For his part, Trump said last week upon signing the Republican National Committee's "pledge" against running as an independent that he felt as if he had been treated "with respect" by the RNC.
"It is my great honor to pledge my total support and loyalty to the Republican Party and the conservative principles for which it stands. This is far and away the best way to secure victory against the Democrats in November 2016," said Trump.
"I'm leading in all local and national polls — my whole life has been about winning, and this is what must be done in order to win the election and, most importantly, to make America great again!"
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| "Trump the Chump" hasn't explained how he can "make American great again...." |
It's a simplistic response, of course, but I continue to refer to Louisiana's immediate past Governor Bobby Jindal's observation, about his GOP analysis. "We've got to stop being the stupid party", he said. In my opinion....Jindal is right. It's plainly stupid for Republican voters to continue supporting Donald Trump and Raphael "Ted" Cruz, when neither one are considered electable in a national election.
Nate Silver, one of the nation's top polling analysts, says real-estate magnate Donald Trump "the Chump" is unlikely to win the Republican presidential nomination.
Nate Silver, the founder and editor-in-chief of the data-journalism website FiveThirtyEight, told an audience at an event in New York that he didn't think Trump would be the nominee, because he wasn't conservative enough. (Certainly, Trump is "stupid" enough because his first major endorsement was from Sarah Palin.)"I don't think Donald Trump is very likely to win the nomination, in part because he's not really a Republican," Silver told journalist Mo Rocca at the 92nd Street Y in Manhattan.
"He's very far to the right on immigration, but he also wants socialized medicine," Silver said. "He wants to tax the rich, right? There's an alternate reality in which he decided to run as a Democrat instead — he wouldn't have to change his policy positions all that much."
Trump is the front-runner for the Republican nomination, leading in both national polls and polls of key early-nominating states including Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.
But Silver, who was heralded for correctly predicting which candidate would win every state in the 2012 presidential election, isn't quite clear on how or when Trump's demise will occur.
Trump has managed to outlast predictions regarding his campaign's viability from some pundits and pollsters — including Silver, who claimed that Trump's favorability ratings were too low — and numerous controversies stemming from his statements about women, immigrants, and more.
Silver said that at this stage, polls wouldn't yield much accurate predictive information, a claim some political observers have cited as reason not to take Trump's poll numbers too seriously.
"People haven't given [the candidates] more than two seconds' worth of attention ... Calm down — it's not a tennis match, where you're going back and forth all the time," Silver said. "Keep calm."
Silver cited recent history as proof that candidates in September didn't typically hold up: Hillary Clinton was leading the Democratic primary race in September 2007, but she went on to lose to then-Sen. Barack Obama. And Republican Rick Perry, then the governor of Texas, was dominating polls at this stage in 2011.
Silver also predicted that if Trump's support did not erode, the Republican Party establishment — which remains vehemently opposed to Trump — could still work overtime to make changes to the primary rules that would make it difficult for Trump to compete.
"The nomination party isn't purely democratic — it's also party's process to bestow," he said. "The fact that the Republican Party establishment hates Donald Trump isn't a very good thing — the party has to give you the nomination."
There's already some evidence that party officials have taken steps to attempt to box out Trump.
Before Trump declared last week that he would not run as an independent if he lost the Republican nomination, party officials in states including South Carolina were already making plans to allow candidates into the primary only if they pledged not to pursue an independent campaign.
And The New York Times reported earlier this week that conservative fund-raisers and advocacy groups were quietly exploring different strategies to undermine Trump.
For his part, Trump said last week upon signing the Republican National Committee's "pledge" against running as an independent that he felt as if he had been treated "with respect" by the RNC.
"It is my great honor to pledge my total support and loyalty to the Republican Party and the conservative principles for which it stands. This is far and away the best way to secure victory against the Democrats in November 2016," said Trump.
"I'm leading in all local and national polls — my whole life has been about winning, and this is what must be done in order to win the election and, most importantly, to make America great again!"
(Trump "the Chump" thinks this concept of "greatness" is somehow correlated with anti-immigration.)
So, to "Dear Donald 'Trump the Chump'"- Listen up! America is already great! Moreover, our nation became "great" because of our patriotism supported by ambitious immigrants and their decades of support for growing our economy, protecting national security, and the ingenuity they have for protecting democratic-humanitarian values.
Donald Trump attracts thousands of followers to his campaign rallies, reminiscent of "beerhall speeches", once held during the days of nationalistic Germany. Those who cheer Trump are blinded by his clarion calls to "make America great again". Trump's eerie message is a scary throwback to pre- World War II Germany's dangerous nationalism.
Americans are smart people, but Republicans are creating a political brand easily to label as "the stupid party". There's no need of stupdity, when viable, conservative, and "winnable" alternative candidates are working hard to educate Republicans about how their political vision might win intelligent votes.
Donald Trump attracts thousands of followers to his campaign rallies, reminiscent of "beerhall speeches", once held during the days of nationalistic Germany. Those who cheer Trump are blinded by his clarion calls to "make America great again". Trump's eerie message is a scary throwback to pre- World War II Germany's dangerous nationalism.
Americans are smart people, but Republicans are creating a political brand easily to label as "the stupid party". There's no need of stupdity, when viable, conservative, and "winnable" alternative candidates are working hard to educate Republicans about how their political vision might win intelligent votes.
Labels: Nate Silver, stupid party
posted by Juliana L'Heureux | 6:03 PM
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