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Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Donald Trump can not read. So a literate person in the White House should read this aloud to him. His illegal war with Iran has failed!

Iran and US slide back into dead end of war
Editorial  Echo opinion published in Le Monde

Americans are not reading the updates about the illegal Iran war. We must access foriegn news like Le Monde to find the truth. Merci

Both sides remain locked in an escalating standoff with no way out. Tehran cannot withstand a long-term blockade of its ports, and Donald Trump risks further alienating American public opinion four months ahead of midterm elections. Meanwhile, the escalation further undermines the global economy.

After a few weeks of relative calm, the illegal Trump war of choice between the United States and Iran has returned, to the point of calling into question an agreement signed less than a month ago at Versailles. That agreement was meant to replace a ceasefire announced in April, the main goal of which was reopening the Strait of Hormuz (that had been opened and free prior to February 28, 2026). 

From the start of the Israel- and US-led attack, which aimed to force regime change in Tehran, Iran had used the strait as a major deterrence tool by blocking the strategic route for hydrocarbon exports.

What followed was a systemic crisis in global energy markets that made the war even more unpopular in the US, as it broke with President Donald Trump's campaign promises to use force only when American interests were at stake, a claim that seemed doubtful in this case. Disillusionment and his administration's hallmark improvisational style led Donald Trump to accept a poorly structured agreement, which explains much of the current stalemate.

The Iranian regime is using the vague wording of the clause concerning the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to claim control over the passage, including by force. (Although it had been open and free prior to February 28, 2026).

At the same time, the US has sought to establish maritime routes through Omani waters, on the opposite shore of the strait, to bypass Iran.
Time running out

The current focus on the chokepoint is a short-term victory for the Iranian regime, since its nuclear program, presented as one of the major reasons for the attack on Iran, is no longer being discussed. By announcing his intention to levy a fee on ships passing through the strait under American protection and then quickly backtracking, Trump also lent credibility to Iran's claim to impose a toll there, in disregard of freedom of navigation.


Despite being severely hit by US and Israeli bombings, the Iranian regime, hardened by war and convinced it had won this confrontation simply by surviving, could only be drawn into a deadly spiral of escalation, the consequences of which would fall mainly on its people. As the hawkish wing regains influence in the US, Trump could once again be blinded by his country's overwhelming military superiority, the limits of which were nonetheless exposed during the initial phase of this asymmetric war.

Time is running out for both sides. Despite its bluster, the Iranian regime is unlikely to be able to withstand a prolonged blockade of its ports by the US Navy. Meanwhile, Trump risked further angering public opinion, with midterm elections, traditionally perilous for the party controlling the White House, less than four months away.

The double deadlock has once again exposed the Arab Gulf states to Iranian reprisals and further weakened a significant part of the world economy held hostage by the crisis. It also highlighted the impotence of the US administration, whether it chose to wage war or fall back on diplomacy. A devastating verdict for a president who had promised to make America great again.

Le Monde



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