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Saturday, June 12, 2021

American politics is entrenched in the era of Reconstruction: Republicans are the problem

Echo report by Ezra Klein published in The New York Times June 3, 2021‘The Point Was to Win,’ Barack Obama Writes.

Maine Writer- Scary data reported by Klein! Racism is now couched in ambiguous political labels like "The Tea Party". Right wing groups are coming out of their dark hiding places, because #FormerGuy sent them the dog whistle permission to create sedition. Even free and fair elections are not resolving the evil intentions of groups like QAnon, the hideous Proud Boys and the spin off domestic terrorist cults. 
Klein reports this interview with President Barack Obama:

“My entire politics is premised on the fact that we are these tiny organisms on this little speck floating in the middle of space,” Barack Obama told me, sitting in his office in Washington.

I was the one who had introduced the cosmic scale, asking how proof of alien life would change his politics. But Obama, in a philosophical mood, used the question to trace his view of humanity. “The differences we have on this planet are real,” he said. “They’re profound. And they cause enormous tragedy as well as joy. But we’re just a bunch of humans with doubts and confusion. We do the best we can. And the best thing we can do is treat each other better, because we’re all we got.”

How Obama navigated the differences we have on this planet is the primary topic of “A Promised Land,” the first volume of his presidential memoirs. One passage, in particular, had stuck in my mind for weeks. Obama is reflecting on the Tea Party uprising, and the thrumming undercurrent of racism that powered it. He recalls the din of cable news chatter debating the Tea Party’s true nature, and the pressure that built for him to render his presidential verdict. He admits that his White House wanted nothing to do with this debate, in part because it had “reams of data telling us that white voters, including many who supported me, reacted poorly to lectures about race.”

I’m going to quote what Obama writes next at length:

More practically, I saw no way to sort out people’s motives, especially given that racial attitudes were woven into every aspect of our nation’s history. Did that Tea Party member support “states’ rights” because he genuinely thought it was the best way to promote liberty, or because he continued to resent how federal intervention had led to an end to Jim Crow, desegregation, and rising Black political power in the South? Did that conservative activist oppose any expansion of the social welfare state because she believed it sapped individual initiative, or because she was convinced that it would benefit only brown people who’d just crossed the border? Whatever my instincts might tell me, whatever truths the history books might suggest, I knew I wasn’t going to win over any voters by labeling my opponents racist.

The poet Robert Frost famously said that “a liberal is a man too broad-minded to take his own side in a quarrel.” This is not quite true of Obama, but it is nearly true of his authorial style. “A Promised Land,” which covers the first half of his presidency, is not 700 pages long because it limns so many events. It’s 700 pages long because it presents so many different views of Obama and his motivations.


Over and over again, Obama tries to make clear that his assailants have a point, that his perspective is bounded by experience and self-interest. This is true in his personal recollections, which give ample space to Michelle Obama’s doubts about his decision to pursue a political career, and it is true in his political remembrances, which always try to inhabit his critics' arguments, or at least their sentiments.

But what strikes me about that passage is that you can see Obama’s idealism and calculation shimmer into a single point. After suggesting that the motivations of his Tea Party critics were unknowable, he resolves the argument by saying the politics of it were thoroughly knowable. Whatever his own intuitions might tell him — whatever “truths the history books might suggest” — to cry racism, or even to coolly point it out, was to lose votes, and neither his version of hope nor of change would be helped along by defeat.

In our national story, Obama is framed as a practitioner of a kind of anti-politics — an almost naïvely optimistic figure who rose to power downplaying our divisions only to find his administration’s legacy swallowed by them. But his book is a reminder that the inverse story has always been just as true: Obama is thoroughly a politician, and because he understood the depth of our divisions, he treated them gingerly, at times fearfully. In a particularly striking moment, Obama reveals that across the entirety of his presidency, his single largest drop in white support came when he criticized the white police officer who arrested Henry Louis Gates Jr., a Black Harvard professor, on the porch of his own home. “It was support that I’d never completely get back,” Obama writes.

Much in our politics is not what it seems. Contrary to the aesthetics of our current political debate, there is a deep optimism in the confrontational politics of the modern left and a quiet pessimism in the caution with which Obama speaks. To ask the question bluntly: Who truly believes America to be a racist country? The political voices who state that view clearly, because they think Americans can be challenged into change, or the ones who try to avoid even implying the thought, because they fear the power of the backlash?


When I brought up that passage about the Tea Party, Obama was frank in describing his calculations. “One of the ways I would measure it would be: Is it more important for me to tell a basic, historical truth, let’s say about racism in America right now? Or is it more important for me to get a bill passed that provides a lot of people with health care that didn’t have it before?” He admitted that there was “a psychic cost to not always just telling the truth,” and fondly referenced the “Key & Peele” skits about Luther, his anger translator. But he didn’t worry over whether he’d been wrong to bite his tongue.

One thing that occurred to me as we were talking is that Obama’s view of his own political situation echoes the current reality of the Democratic Party. Barack Hussein Obama, a Black man running for office during the era of the War on Terror, understood the deck was stacked against him. If he was going to win, he would need the support of people inclined to view him with suspicion. He would need to not just speak to their hopes, but to defuse their fears. To hear Obama tell it, those fears were not just that too much change would come too fast, but that those who fought that change, or just worried over it, would be judged or cast out.

“People knew I was left on issues like race, or gender equality, and L.G.B.T.Q. issues and so forth,” Obama told me. “But I think maybe the reason I was successful campaigning in downstate Illinois, or Iowa, or places like that is they never felt as if I was condemning them for not having gotten to the politically correct answer quick enough, or that somehow they were morally suspect because they had grown up with and believed more traditional values.”

Democrats, too, face an unforgiving context: Their coalition leans young, urban and diverse, while America’s turnout patterns and electoral geography favor the old, rural and white. According to FiveThirtyEight, Republicans hold a 3.5 point advantage in the Electoral College, a 5-point advantage in the Senate and a 2-point advantage in the House. Even after winning many more votes than Republicans in 2018 and 2020, Democrats are at a 50-50 split in the Senate and have a bare four-seat majority in the House. Odds are that they will lose the House and possibly the Senate in 2022.

This is the fundamental asymmetry of American politics right now: To hold national power, Democrats need to win voters who are right of center; Republicans do not need to win voters who are left of center. Even worse, Republicans control the election laws and redistricting processes in 23 states, while Democrats control 15. The ongoing effort by Texas Republicans to tilt the voting laws in their favor, even as national Republicans stonewall the For The People Act and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, is testament to the consequences of that imbalance.

Most Democrats I know are panicked over the convergence of their geographic disadvantage and the Republican assault on democracy. In my view, they’re right to be. Their situation is dire, and if the Republican Party could reorient itself around more competent candidates, it could become catastrophic. Obama has argued that Senate Democrats should abolish the filibuster and pass the legislation necessary to protect American democracy. I wish they’d listen to him on that. But, as of now, the Democrats’ democracy agenda is imperiled, and so are they.

In our conversation, Obama gamely tried to suggest that there was a bright side to the Democrats’ structural disadvantage. “That does mean Democratic politics is going to be different than Republican politics,” he told me. “Now, look, the good news is, I also think that has made the Democratic Party more empathetic, more thoughtful, wiser by necessity. We have to think about a broader array of interests and people. And that’s my vision for how America ultimately works best and perfects its union.”


In other words, the Democratic Party, like Obama, has been forced into a more pluralistic form of politics by its geographic disadvantages. The 2016 and 2020 elections tell the tale. The Republican Party reacted to Obama by indulging its rage and nominating Donald Trump and won the presidency despite losing the popular vote. The Democratic Party responded to Trump by strategically nominating the candidate they thought had the best chance of winning over Trump voters, Joe Biden, and came perilously close to losing the presidency despite dominating the popular vote.

Toward the end of our conversation, I asked Obama if he still believed you could change people’s politics through policy. He replied with the central what-if of the last decade. “Let’s say a Joe Biden or, the person who was running, Hillary Clinton, had immediately succeeded me, and the economy suddenly has 3 percent unemployment, I think we would have consolidated the sense that, oh, actually these policies that Obama put in place worked,” he said. “The fact that Trump interrupts essentially the continuation of our policies, but still benefits from the economic stability and growth that we had initiated, means people aren’t sure.”

Biden is “essentially finishing the job,” Obama told me. We’ll see. If Joe Biden and the Democrats pass H.R.1 and some version of the American Families and Jobs Plans, then the Obama-Biden approach to politics will have proven itself out. But if they fail to pass H.R.1 or the American Families and Jobs Plans, and then lose the House and Senate in 2022, how open will liberals be to hearing about the virtues of more candidates in the Obama lineage? Not very, I suspect. Coalitions are less emotionally satisfying than confrontations; pluralism doesn’t go nearly as viral as division. The politicians who preach the harder path have to be able to deliver.

Obama knew this full well. “The point was to win,” he writes. “I wanted to prove to Blacks, to whites — to Americans of all colors — that we could transcend the old logic, that we could rally a working majority around a progressive agenda, that we could place issues like inequality or lack of educational opportunity at the very center of the national debate and then actually deliver the goods.”

This is another way in which the reality of our politics defies the aesthetics of our politicians. The true agents of Democratic radicalization right now aren’t leftists in the House but senators like Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, who by indulging Republican obstructionism and preferring the preservation of the filibuster to the protection of democracy, are imperiling the entire theory of politics they claim to support.

#RepublicansAreTheProblem!

Ezra Klein joined NYT Opinion in 2021. Previously, he was the founder, editor in chief and then editor-at-large of Vox; the host of the podcast, “The Ezra Klein Show”; and the author of “Why We’re Polarized.” 

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Thursday, May 09, 2013

Grumpy Old Party - a "Same Old-Same Old" GOP

Republicans seem to have a strategy of simply holding their political breath, like a pack of spoiled two year old children, until they get their way. 

GOP zealots want their way, without compromise, on immigration, on taxes, on cutting social safety nets like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid and on their opinion of what happened during the September 11, 2012, terror attack on the consulate in Benghazi, Libya.

A relentless policy of GOP obstructionism against anything President Obama proposes, without a plan of their own to fix anything they complain about, might be causing the party to ideologically implode.  This might be encouraging political news for Democrats who see a light of progress in the demise of Republican obstructionism.  Nevertheless, regardless of how wrong minded the GOP has become, there are, unfortunately, just enough zealots around who share their extreme right wing political ideologies to fuel the obstructionist behaviors.  They seem to thrive on negative energy.

In summary, these are some of the issues the GOP holds on to like Velcro bonded with crazy glue.  They won't let go of their "same old- same old" obstructive positions on:

1.  Immigration - they believe immigrants who become American citizens will eventually vote Democratic; so the Grumpy Old Party doesn't want new voters flooding the political opposition.

2.  Taxes - they don't want anybody to pay taxes unless the money is used to fund defense contracts and national security.  These expensive tax expenditures are often awarded to corporations that are typically owned by Republican owners, who share the wealth by growing the Military Industrial Complex. (A concept commonly used to refer to policy and monetary relationships between legislators, national armed forces, and the military industrial base that supports them. These relationships include political contributions, political approval for military spending...)

3.  Social Safety Nets- they want to cut all entitlements Americans have earned through shared contributions and taxes. These entitlements are paid by tax payers who can rely on the programs when they are needed.  These safety nets include Social Security, paid through dedicated FICA taxes. Also, the Medicare benefit, that protects the elderly from poverty by providing excellent health care insurance, paid for by contributions during the beneficiaries working years as well as by deductions from the Social Security benefit.  Other safety net programs the Grumpy Old Party takes joy in wanting to cut include Medicaid, the safety net program for people who live in poverty and educational programs like the Head Start school program for young children. Cutting these safety net programs would free up tax revenues so the rich could demand more tax loopholes and, thereby, keep the money they earn rather than share their wealth.

4.  Terror attack in Benghazi, Libya where Ambassador Stevens died from smoke inhalation brought on by a ferocious gunfight.  Instead of admitting the root cause of the loss of life in Libya was the fiscal cuts to embassy security monies, the Grumpy Old Party is, instead, deflecting the blame to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.  There would be no Benghazi Congressional hearings if the former First Lady, former New York Senator and former Secretary of State was intending to retire.  Instead, Mrs. Clinton is the leading contender for the 2016 Presidential race.  Benghazi and the death of Ambassador Stevens happened on her "watch", so it's going to haunt her future political career.

By wasting time, energy and money creating destructive arguments about regressive issues, the Grumpy Old Party has a strategy of grabbing headlines to motivate their ambitious followers.  It apparently doesn't matter that many of the Grumpy Old Party ideologies are rooted in myths and conspiracy theories. These zealots cling to the "same old - same old" right wing ideologies until they simply wear out those who become exhausted trying to defend intelligent public policies. 

Americans cannot let this childish Grumpy Old Party acting out behavior to continue.  We must expose the ridiculous GOP political temper tantrums, while consistently telling truth to their power grabbing tactics.  Most important, Americans must vote these Grumpy Old Party zealot obstructionists out of office, and the sooner the better.  

On the other hand, if the Grumpy Old Party is in a political tail spin due to the lack of a cohesive public policy strategy, then Democrats must be ready to respond by grabbing the headlines and controlling the national agenda.  We must enthusiastically defend our positions and protect our safety net programs.

Otherwise, the Republican strategy of "political breath holding" and obstructionism could be dangerously close to succeeding.

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