Donald Trump insensitive to minorities- The Atlantic

Seven in 10 women view him unfavorably. It’s even worse with minorities. A recent Gallup poll found that 77 percent of Hispanics view Trump unfavorably. A Washington Post poll pegged that number at eight in 10, seven of them “very unfavorable.” An NBC News/Survey Monkey poll found an astonishing 86 percent of African Americans had a negative view of Trump.- David A. Graham The Atlantic


If Donald Trump expects to be a political leader, he must figure out how to undo the damage he's done with minority groups like African Americans and Hispanics.                                       
How Donald Trump Speaks to—and About—Minorities

Does the presumptive Republican nominee see African Americans and Hispanics as part of the American “we”?
By David A. Graham

Celebrating his big win in Indiana—and his elevation to presumptive nominee of the Republican Party—Tuesday night, Donald Trump spoke at Trump Tower in New York City, where he delivered a promise to heal the deep fractures in his party.

“We want to bring unity to the Republican Party,” he said. “We have to bring unity. It's so much easier if we have it.”


(OMG- the above statement is absolutely idiotic!  He should have known this when he "trumped" out to campaign!)

That will be a tall order. But as a general-election candidate, Trump will need to win over more than just Republicans. In his inimitable way, he pledged to bring together the rest of the nation as well.


“We're going to bring back our jobs, and we're going to save our jobs, and people are going to have great jobs again, and this country, which is very, very divided in so many different ways, is going to become one beautiful loving country, and we're going to
love each other, we're going to cherish each other and take care of each other, and we're going to have great economic development and we're not going to let other countries take it away from us, because that's what's been happening for far too many years and we're not going to do it anymore,” he said. (That’s a single sentence, if you’re keeping track at home.)


Trump faces significant obstacles to achieving that unity, particular with blocs that are not white men. Seven in 10 women view him unfavorably. It’s even worse with minorities. A recent Gallup poll found that 77 percent of Hispanics view Trump unfavorably. A Washington Post poll pegged that number at eight in 10, seven of them “very unfavorable.” An NBC News/Survey Monkey poll found an astonishing 86 percent of African Americans had a negative view of Trump.

One reason for those atrocious ratings is the way Trump speaks to and about minorities, which was on display during his victory speech Tuesday.

“We're going to have great relationships with the Hispanics,” he said. “The Hispanics have been so incredible to me. They want jobs. Everybody wants jobs. The African Americans want jobs. If you look at what's going on, they want jobs.”

Part of Trump’s rhetorical power is his supercharged used of “we,” a method that persuades people across the country that they are part of a larger movement, and somehow share with Trump his aura of wealthy and luxury. (It’s the same technique he’s used to sell real estate for years.) In the midst of his spiel about all the ways “we” would make America great again, Trump tossed in this passage about minorities.






His phrasing is telling. First, it suggests that for Trump, blacks and Hispanics aren’t part of “we”—“they” constitute separate groups. Perhaps that’s an accidental, unthinking division, but subconscious racial division is no less dangerous. Second, it shows him assuming that minority concerns can be reduced to economics. That view is perhaps unsurprising for a man who has spent his career trying to accumulate wealth, but it is a two-dimensional view of black and Hispanic Americans.

The fact that his policies simply don’t line up with what most African Americans want in a president is one reason his numbers with black voters are so bad. Another factor is a presidential campaign driven in large parts by divisive appeals to racism and bigotry against Hispanics, Muslims, and other groups. Trump also has a long history of racially charged incidents, from alleged tenant discrimination to his strident reaction to the Central Park Five.

The entertainer has long spoken about minority groups with the outdated formulation involving a definite article: “I have a great relationship with the blacks. I’ve always had a great relationship with the blacks,” he said in 2011, using language that undermined his claim. He’s said similar things about “the Hispanics.”

Changing the way Trump speaks about African Americans and Hispanics won’t solve his problems with those groups, but if he wishes to unify the country, beginning to speak about them as though they are part of the American populace would be a good place to start.

In the United States of America, Donald Trump must figure out how to change this map if he intends to lead a united nation.

Maine Writer observes- you don't unite people by just saying they are united, and therefore, they must unite and being united will make us great again. Rather, Donald Trump must try to lead like he really wants to support and grow the United States of America. 

Donald Trump's impressive list of political enemies

Donald Trump's delusional ambition to be an American President is being undermined by nearly everyone in the political establishment. He has antagonized every constituent group except for angry white males, and they look more like the reincarnation of the Nazi storm troopers rather than American voters. It's hard to find people to speak publicly about supporting Donald Trump to be America's leader. Although the famous Indiana basketball coach Bobby Knight supports the Trumponian campaign, he can't articulare an intelligent reason for his opinion. Other difficult to accept Trump supporters are the former vice-president candidate and Alaska "half term" Governor Sarah Palin (ho hum), Bobby Knight, a college baskeball coach, Governor of New Jersey Chris Christie, Maine Governor Paul LePage and Alabama Senator Jeff Sessions. This is hardly an impressive list of intelligencia. Incredulously, Trump's few supporters includes a failed governor and vice-presidential candidate, a failed presidential candidate, an unpopular Maine governor, a right wing extremist Senator who denies he has ties to the Ku Klux Klan and a college basketball coach who can't articulate why he supports Donald Trump, except to say he does.

Here are the voting groups who largely oppose Donald Trump's candidacy:

1.   Mexican Americans
2.   Hispanic groups
3.   Transexual and gay voters
4.   African Americans
5.   Democratic voters
6.   White women
7.   Muslim voters
8.   Jewish voters
9.   Moderate Republican-Conservative voters
10.  Newly naturalized American citizens

This is the public perception logo of the Donald Trump's candidacy for president of the US - immigrants climbing the border wall.

Mathematically, it's hard to see how Donald Trump can claim he is the Republican candidate who can win the 2016 to be elected President of the United States. Given the lack of Republican and traditional political support, added to the alienation of major voting blocks who are opposed to Donald Trump's hate filled rhetoric, it's impossible to understand how enough votes can be won in the national election to elect him as president. Moreover, on the electoral map, where the deciding votes are ultimately cast, there is no way Donald Trump can create winning support from blue voting states.  Consequently, it seems evident that Donald Trump has created too many political enemies to win the 2016 election.

Thankfully, Secretary Hillary Clinton has a "love Trumps hate" campaign to counter the "Trumpastic divisiveness" in the politically unpredictable public policies spewed by Donald Trump.  

Although Donald Trump appears to believe he will eventually call in the political "chips" owed him from his generous millions of contributions, given to high level politicains, he has simply created too many enemies to claim his bets. It's time for Republicans at the 2016 Cleveland national GOP convention to nominate a responsible presidential candidate. Instead of Donald Trump, they must choose a candidate qualified by education and experience to run in 2016, to be a respected leader of the free world. Moreover, they must choose a candidate who will not alienate 10 major voting groups. Simple arithmetic should be enough to convince the Republican delegates in Cleveland to figure out how to nominate somebody who does not have so many political enemies.

Despair and life expectancy - the potential to create a new social order

A surprising development has been revealed by recent resarch about morbidity and mortality.  Guess what? 

Death Rates are Rising for Middle-Aged White Americans!

This correlation is an anamoly for social and medical scientists.

This change will eventually have a broad base impact on all of our social institutions - jobs, religion, education and health care.
Is dispair a contributing factor?

If this trend continues, it's bound to change America's social and ethnic mixes. In other words, in the past, the American white middle class, as a group, has enjoyed the American dream of prosperity. If people in this social-economic group are now dying prematurely, as the data shows, and doing so at a higher rate than they have in the past, the result will inevitably be a change in America's social diversity. In other words, another ethnic group, other than white middle age men, will likely rise to fill the void.

The New York Times Reports - Something startling is happening to middle-aged white Americans. Unlike every other age group, unlike every other racial and ethnic group, unlike their counterparts in other rich countries, death rates in this group have been rising, not falling.  That finding was reported Monday by two Princeton economists, Angus Deaton, who last month won the 2015 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science, and Anne Case. 

Angus Deaton with his wife, Anne Case, right, last month after he won the 2015 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science. Together, they wrote a study analyzing mortality rates. CreditBen Solomon for The New York Times

Analyzing health and mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and Prevention and from other sources, they concluded that rising annual death rates among this group are being driven, not by the big killers, like heart disease and diabetes but by an epidemic of suicides and afflictions stemming from substance abuse: alcoholic liver disease and overdoses of heroin and prescription opioids.


The analysis by Dr. Deaton and Dr. Case may offer the most rigorous evidence to date of both the causes and implications of a development that has been puzzling demographers in recent years: the declining health and fortunes of poorly educated American whites. In middle age, they are dying at such a high rate that they are increasing the death rate for the entire group of middle-aged white Americans, Dr. Deaton and Dr. Case found.

The mortality rate for whites 45 to 54 years old, with no more than a high school education, increased by 134 deaths per 100,000 people from 1999 to 2014.

“It is difficult to find modern settings with survival losses of this magnitude,” wrote two Dartmouth economists, Ellen Meara and Jonathan S. Skinner, in a commentary to be published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

“Wow,” said Samuel Preston, a professor of sociology at the University of Pennsylvania and an expert on mortality trends and the health of populations, who was not involved in the research. “This is a vivid indication that something is awry in these American households.”

Dr. Deaton had but one parallel. “Only H.I.V./AIDS in contemporary times has done anything like this,” he said.

In contrast, the death rate for middle-aged blacks and Hispanics continued to decline during the same period, as did death rates for younger and older people of all races and ethnic groups. (In other words, this data indicates that a person who is elderly has less a probability of dying than someone who is white and middle age! Think about this!  It means sadly more parents will bury their children!)

Middle-aged blacks still have a higher mortality rate than whites — 581 per 100,000, compared with 415 for whites — but the gap is closing, and the rate for middle-aged Hispanics is far lower than for middle-aged whites at 262 per 100,000.

David M. Cutler, a Harvard health care economist, said that, although it was known that people were dying from causes like opioid addiction, the thought was that those deaths were just blips in the health care statistics and that, over all, everyone’s health was improving. The new paper, he said, “shows those blips are more like incoming missiles.”

Dr. Deaton and Dr. Case (who are husband and wife) say they stumbled on their finding by accident, looking at a variety of national data sets on mortality rates and federal surveys that asked people about their levels of pain, disability and general ill health.

Dr. Deaton was looking at statistics on suicide and happiness, skeptical about whether states with a high happiness level have a low suicide rate. (They do not, he discovered; in fact, the opposite is true.) Dr. Case was interested in poor health, including chronic pain because she has suffered for 12 years from disabling and untreatable lower back pain.

Dr. Deaton noticed in national data sets that middle-aged whites were committing suicide at an unprecedented rate and that the all-cause mortality in this group was rising. 

But suicides alone, he and Dr. Case realized, were not enough to push up overall death rates, so they began looking at other causes of death. That led them to the discovery that deaths from drug and alcohol poisoning also increased in this group.

Paul '52 NYC
The people who are, slowly or quickly, killing themselves are the people who thought, in the 60s and 70s, that if they did what their parents did they too would get job security, pensions, and a decent lifestyle.

They concluded that taken together, suicides, drugs and alcohol explained the overall increase in deaths. The effect was largely confined to people with a high school education or less. In that group, death rates rose by 22 percent while they actually fell for those with a college education.  

It is not clear why only middle-aged whites had such a rise in their mortality rates. Dr. Meara and Dr. Skinner, in their commentary, considered a variety of explanations — including a pronounced racial difference in the prescription of opioid drugs and their misuse, and a more pessimistic outlook among whites about their financial futures — but say they cannot fully account for the effect.

Dr. Case, investigating indicators of poor health, discovered that middle-aged people, unlike the young and unlike the elderly, were reporting more pain in recent years than in the past. 

A third in this group reported they had chronic joint pain over the years 2011 to 2013, and one in seven said they had sciatica. Those with the least education reported the most pain and the worst general health.

The least educated also had the most financial distress, Dr. Meara and Dr. Skinner noted in their commentary. In the period examined by Dr. Deaton and Dr. Case, the inflation-adjusted income for households headed by a high school graduate fell by 19 percent.

Dr. Case found that the number of whites with mental illnesses and the number reporting they had difficulty socializing increased in tandem. Along with that, increasing numbers of middle-aged whites said they were unable to work. She also saw matching increases in the numbers reporting pain and the numbers reporting difficulty socializing, difficulty shopping, difficulty walking for two blocks.

With the pain and mental distress data, Dr. Deaton said, “we had the two halves of the story.” Increases in mortality rates in middle-aged whites rose in parallel with their increasing reports of pain, poor health and distress, he explained. They provided a rationale for the increase in deaths fromsubstance abuse and suicides.

Dr. Preston of the University of Pennsylvania noted that the National Academy of Sciences had published two monographs reporting that the United States had fallen behind other rich countries in improvements in life expectancy. One was on mortality below age 50 and the other on mortality above age 50. He coedited one of those reports. But, he said, because of the age divisions, the researchers analyzing the data missed what Dr. Deaton and Dr. Case found hiding in plain sight.

“We didn’t pick it up,” Dr. Preston said, referring to the increasing mortality rates among middle-aged whites.

Ronald D. Lee, professor of economics, professor of demography and director of the Center on Economics and Demography of Aging at the University of California, Berkeley, was among those taken aback by what Dr. Deaton and Dr. Case discovered.

“Seldom have I felt as affected by a paper,” he said. “It seems so sad.”